Blog Post

A Customer who only buys once is not a customer

Peter Rivett-Jones • Dec 14, 2020

If a customer doesn’t repeat purchase they belong to a competitor

If a customer doesn’t repeat purchase they belong to a competitor

Imagine a world where the definition of a customer was someone who buy’s a company’s goods or services more than once. In fact don’t imagine it, apply this definition to your business now and see what effect it has.

We regularly talk to companies where more than half of their customers wouldn’t be counted under this definition because they have only bought once. Half of the customers they think they have would not be included in their customer metrics.

I’m a great believer in playing with data and this is one exercise that I urge you to try. Rerun all your customer numbers using this revised definition of a customer. The numbers when it comes to things like retention rates, customer engagement rates, spend per customer etc will be truly enlightening.

The simple truth is that a one-off customer is not really your customer – they belong to one of your competitors. Including these customers in your metrics is a false comfort blanket that is hiding the true picture of where your business is.

You should really view a one-off customer as still being a prospect. You’ve worked really hard to get them to the first purchase and no doubt spent a lot of money too – but the job is far from complete.

Getting new customers to a second purchase is extremely difficult. 68% of customers will never purchase a second time according to research from multiple ecommerce benchmarks (Ecommerce Buyer Behavior, Ecommerce Growth) and the trends Shopify Plus’ Tommy Walker

But encouraging repeat customers creates long-lasting, profitable relationships. Not only are your repeat customers purchasing more over time than new customers, they spend more per visit and tend to purchase more expensive products or services.

While only 32% of first purchasers will make a second purchase, 53% of customers that make a second purchase will make a third. And with each successive purchase, the likelihood of them coming back increases.

Acquiring new customers is great but getting them to buy the second time is even better. A second purchase is a key step towards becoming a high-value customer. What’s more, it is significantly cheaper to get existing customers to buy twice than finding new customers altogether. In fact, the probability of selling to an existing customer is 60-70%, while the probability of selling to a new prospect is only 5-20%.

You need to start building a relationship from the very beginning of a customer’s journey with your company, engaging them with relevant information at each stage. You want to actively move prospects through the funnel until the point where they become repeat buyers.

A key cornerstone of this activity should be some form of nurture programme. A nurture programme is a series of triggered communication timed around an average frequency of purchase for an industry sector. The communications may include offers and incentives. It should include recommendations on next products to purchase. This could be based on best selling products or it could be based on affinity models - a set of models that predict the most suitable next product to buy.

Whatever is in your nurture programme it is important it is measured correctly. Don't just measure it on how many sales have been made, you need to measure how many customers have made a second purchase.


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